By John Umeh
As Nigeria edges closer to the pivotal 2027 general elections, one name increasingly capturing national attention is that of former Kano State Governor and NNPP chieftain, Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso. With his signature red cap and a growing base of loyal supporters, Kwankwaso has once again positioned himself as a significant player in Nigeria’s evolving political landscape. His next move—whether to contest, align, or play the kingmaker role—could alter the trajectory of the upcoming election.
Kwankwaso, who ran under the platform of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) in the 2023 presidential election and finished fourth, has been quietly but strategically recalibrating his political presence. Though his showing in 2023 fell short of expectations, it cemented his influence in the North and solidified his grip on Kano, Nigeria’s most populous state in the North-West. With his grassroots movement, the Kwankwasiyya, gaining renewed traction, his political relevance remains undeniable.
What makes Kwankwaso’s role in 2027 especially consequential is the broader context of a fragmented opposition and an APC-led administration facing economic headwinds and growing public dissatisfaction. The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) is still grappling with internal rifts and questions over leadership direction, while Labour Party’s 2023 momentum, driven by Peter Obi, appears to be undergoing a recalibration.
In this climate of uncertainty, Kwankwaso’s options are many—and each comes with far-reaching implications. He could mount another presidential campaign under the NNPP banner, aiming to unify disenchanted northerners and younger voters hungry for change. Alternatively, he could engage in strategic negotiations with either the APC or PDP, especially if political concessions or regional interests align. Rumors have also persisted about backchannel discussions with other third-force actors to build a formidable coalition ahead of 2027.
Observers believe Kwankwaso’s political decisions will be guided by two key priorities: national visibility and regional consolidation. While his appeal outside the North remains limited, his influence in the North-West—an electoral goldmine—cannot be underestimated. Should he decide to broker alliances, Kwankwaso could play a kingmaker role, influencing which way the pendulum swings in the presidential contest.
Moreover, with a swelling youth population and rising demand for political alternatives, Kwankwaso could also tap into anti-establishment sentiments, especially if he frames his campaign as one rooted in education, equity, and infrastructure—areas he prioritized while in office in Kano.
Ultimately, as Nigeria prepares for yet another high-stakes general election, Kwankwaso’s moves will be watched closely by both allies and rivals. Whether as a candidate, coalition builder, or disruptor, his choices in the coming months may well determine not just his political future, but the future shape of Nigeria’s democracy in 2027 and beyond.
